I said "I could issue a number of these notes". It comes of trust in me, or trust in the system of people getting notes from me, as they see the outcomes.
There is no difference in printing my own notes than the government printing theirs beyond the trust of the people that it's worth something. That's an intrinsic feature of fiat money. People can lose faith in government currency, there's numerous cases around the world of it happening before.
We aren't trading actual physical goods (gold, silver) or notes directly exchangeable for them any more, and haven't been for a long while.
Not in our current system. Only the government can issue notes; for anyone else to do so is illegal. That was my point.
(It's true that, in our current system, most money creation is actually electronic--entries in accounting databases--rather than physical notes. But all of that money creation is still done under rules set down by the government, and denominated in the government's fiat currency. So it's equivalent, for my purposes here, to the government printing notes directly. And nobody can just decide to create, say, a new bank deposit any time they want, or denominate it in their own currency.)
> There is no difference in printing my own notes than the government printing theirs beyond the trust of the people that it's worth something.
In principle this is, of course, true. But I wasn't arguing that our current system is the only possible fiat money system with fractional reserve banking. I was only arguing that, in our current system as it exists, the government is in fact the only entity allowed to print money (with the qualifications I gave above).
Okay, then the answer to your question "Where does the rest of the money that's lent out come from?" is that it's a passed through loan. The central bank (government) lends the bank you are dealing with funds at a specific rate (publicized), in large amounts. The bank you are getting a loan from then re-lends this money to you at a higher rate. You could lend the money you borrowed yourself to your friends at an even higher rate, if you liked. You would need to make sure your friends were likely to pay you back though, as if they don't you would still be liable for the money you borrowed (thus why you charge a higher rate, in addition to trying to make some money). The government lends to banks and not you because it's easier to assess the risk, and different banks are more willing to take bets and invest in specific things the government might see as too risky.
> then the answer to your question "Where does the rest of the money that's lent out come from?" is that it's a passed through loan
In other words, the original source of the rest of the money is the government. Yes, that is exactly the point I was trying to make.
> You could lend the money you borrowed yourself to your friends at an even higher rate, if you liked.
Yes, but unlike commercial banks, you can't have the government print extra money (directly or indirectly) just because you made a loan. Nor can you lend money to your friends and also give the same money back to whoever you got it from, without waiting for your friends to pay back the loan.
> The government lends to banks and not you because it's easier to assess the risk
I understand that that's the story we get told, but that doesn't make it true. The government lends to banks because it is transferring wealth to the banks, but doesn't want to make it obvious that that's what is happening.
> Yes, but unlike commercial banks, you can't have the government print extra money (directly or indirectly) just because you made a loan. Nor can you lend money to your friends and also give the same money back to whoever you got it from, without waiting for your friends to pay back the loan.
Well, to a degree you can. There's probably always someone to lend to you at some rate. Future loans would have to use this new rate. That's not much different than Fed lending. You don't get to participate in a large system where the friction of that is all worn away, but that's a matter of scale. I don't think we are discussing the right of individuals to get all the benefits of working at scale.
> I understand that that's the story we get told, but that doesn't make it true. The government lends to banks because it is transferring wealth to the banks, but doesn't want to make it obvious that that's what is happening.
So the government is transferring wealth to the banks. That's indisputable. I don't agree that's the purpose of the arrangement though. It's a byproduct (but a byproduct a lot of people like, and try to make sure they perpetuate) of the real goal, which is economic advancement for the whole country. I also won't dispute that it's disproportionately helping the banks and those rich enough already to be part of the system.
> to a degree you can. There's probably always someone to lend to you at some rate.
If you're a commercial bank, you don't have to get another loan.
> I don't think we are discussing the right of individuals to get all the benefits of working at scale.
No; but we are discussing "benefits of working at scale" that aren't really due to working at scale, but to special privileges that commercial banks have that private individuals don't.
> I don't agree that's the purpose of the arrangement though.
It's not the ostensible purpose, no. But when one looks at the history of how the Fed came into existence, it's hard to shake the feeling that it was the real purpose, whether or not anyone will ever admit that.
> If you're a commercial bank, you don't have to get another loan.
Yes, you do. They borrow more money from the Fed, at the current Fed rate. This may not go through all the hoops a regular lendor requires, but it is a loan. That's why bank loan rates closely follow Fed rates. It's not money for free, it's very easy loans.
> No; but we are discussing "benefits of working at scale" that aren't really due to working at scale, but to special privileges that commercial banks have that private individuals don't.
Individuals also don't have to match the regulatory burden of the banks. Any individual could match those burdens (which may require a minimum loan amount, and a minimum amount of money on-hand) and try to get themselves certified as a bank, and then they could. They would need to meet the regulatory requirements too at that point though. You could argue that banks don't have enough regulatory hurdles in place to make up for the sweet deal they are getting from the Fed, but that's not the argument I've seen put forth.
> But when one looks at the history of how the Fed came into existence, it's hard to shake the feeling that it was the real purpose
Well, I don't see it that way, so it's it's not that hard for me. In order to try to control the economy, some regulations and incentives were put in place. Those are always able to be gamed, so you can either try to reduce the gaming to increasingly hard edge cases, or do away with the regulation. I think the regulation has a net positive effect, so I'm in favor of the former.
In other words, no matter what alternative you propose, if it was adopted it would be easy to look at it, look at the proponents that gained from it, and conclude the real purpose was to benefit those individuals. There's always winners and losers in any controlled situation, as the control always suits some better than others.
> In order to try to control the economy, some regulations and incentives were put in place.
Again, I agree that this was the ostensible purpose. But it only makes sense on the assumption that it is possible to control the economy in the first place; and that only makes sense on the assumption that economics is a precise enough science to be used for such control. I suppose it's possible that central bankers in 1913 actually believed that, but it seems highly unlikely to me. It seems far more probable to me that they knew they were essentially selling snake oil; but of course they weren't going to say so. They were tired of the government coming to them for money every time there was a financial panic, so they decided to do something about it, and if that meant selling snake oil packaged as "regulations and incentives to control the economy" to politicians who didn't know any better anyway, so be it.
> There's always winners and losers in any controlled situation
You're ignoring the alternative of a non-controlled situation, i.e., a free market that treats money just like any other commodity. There will still be winners and losers in such a situation, but it would be impossible to attribute that to the control preferentially advantaging some parties over others, since there would be no control to begin with.
There is no difference in printing my own notes than the government printing theirs beyond the trust of the people that it's worth something. That's an intrinsic feature of fiat money. People can lose faith in government currency, there's numerous cases around the world of it happening before.
We aren't trading actual physical goods (gold, silver) or notes directly exchangeable for them any more, and haven't been for a long while.